The Demographic Factor in China’s Transition1

The Demographic Transition1

Accounting for China’s Long-term Growth: How Important is Demographic Change?

As a complement to the literature, this paper studies the effects of changes in demographic structures on China’s growth from 1957 to 2007. A general equilibrium overlapping generations model with endogenous fertility is employed in order to measure the contribution of demographic changes. The main findings are (1) the demographic change (a sharp decline in fertility) was the main engine of Chi...

The future of a demographic overachiever: long-term implications of the demographic transition in China.

China has been an overachiever in the global process of demographic transition in the second half of the twentieth century. its mortality decline was unparalleled in human history among populations of significant size, consequently setting the stage for rapid population growth. in turn, rapid population growth laid the foundation for an unprecedented state intervention in birth control. China’s...

China’s Energy Security: I.R. Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Role in China’s Energy Diplomacy

This paper examines the possible choices and energy security plans of China, focusing on its relations with I.R Iran and Saudi Arabia in the Middle East. Needless to say, these two rival countries in the region are both among the top oil producers of the world and China has deep and old cooperation with both countries. Meanwhile in its new strategy, China tries to establish a kind of balance am...

The Demographic Factor in China’s Transition

During the last two and a half decades, China has witnessed demographic change of historic proportions. It has transformed from a “demographic transitional” society, one where reductions in mortality led to rapid population growth and subsequent reductions in fertility led to slower population growth, to a “posttransitional” society, where life expectancy has reached new heights, fertility has ...